Sjö, P.
Tämä koodi hakee THL:n ylläpitämästä Sampo-tietokannasta päivitetyt tilastot Suomen koronatapauksista
Aineiston tunnusluvut sekä kuvaaja
## Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max.
## 0.00 1.00 41.50 51.36 85.25 206.00
Istutetun mallin tulokset
##
## Family: gaussian
## Link function: identity
##
## Formula:
## Tapauksien_lkm ~ s(nro)
##
## Parametric coefficients:
## Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
## (Intercept) 51.355 2.018 25.45 <2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## Approximate significance of smooth terms:
## edf Ref.df F p-value
## s(nro) 6.599 7.73 65.83 <2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
##
## R-sq.(adj) = 0.789 Deviance explained = 79.9%
## GCV = 594.46 Scale est. = 561.73 n = 138
##
## Call:
## arima(x = tartunnat$Tapauksien_lkm, order = c(6, 0, 0))
##
## Coefficients:
## ar1 ar2 ar3 ar4 ar5 ar6 intercept
## 0.6430 -0.1128 0.1007 0.0245 -0.0940 0.3956 28.8291
## s.e. 0.0772 0.0941 0.0935 0.0939 0.0931 0.0759 33.2988
##
## sigma^2 estimated as 499.5: log likelihood = -625.94, aic = 1267.87
## $pred
## Time Series:
## Start = 139
## End = 148
## Frequency = 1
## [1] 7.382449 13.885554 13.263672 12.414654 9.703950 7.063497 7.879727
## [8] 11.039689 12.480922 12.987681
##
## $se
## Time Series:
## Start = 139
## End = 148
## Frequency = 1
## [1] 22.34886 26.56995 27.40596 27.84916 28.19742 28.22332 29.45568 31.40889
## [9] 32.53375 33.20516
